Bold Promises and Hidden Pitfalls

Are we looking at vaporware?

Image of a crocodile resting in the sun.
Photo by Sergio Mena Ferreira

This:

"At the University of Arizona, computer science and philosophy student Shawki Sukkar said he hoped to apply to assist in dismantling the “administrative state” that has “had a very terrible influence on culture in the U.S.” A Syrian immigrant, Sukkar said he was concerned by the government’s “undermining of the Angle-Saxon tradition of classical virtues,” and hoped that Musk could embody a new era of “natural aristocracy,” an early 19th century political theory developed by Thomas Jefferson in which the most talented and virtuous citizens form a new leadership class."

this:

"Sukkar hopes to build a model of spending excesses in Democrat-voting blue states using software from Palantir, the Peter Thiel cofounded analytics company, over his college winter break, then apply to DOGE with the results."

and this:

"But for others, one allure of DOGE is the potential career boost — a forged-in-fire experience similar to working under Kalanick at Uber, or after Musk’s takeover of X. One DOGE applicant pointed to a comment made by Figma CEO Dylan Field on X on Monday as “very good, pro-DOGE propaganda”: “I’d wager that in 10-20 years the group that works on DOGE will be the next PayPal Mafia,” Field posted."

If you're out of time, in a hurry, or trying to catch the bus, here is a summary of Forbes' article:

  • Introduction of DOGE: The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is a new initiative led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to cut government excess and improve efficiency.
  • Recruitment Strategy: DOGE is seeking 100 full-time hires, particularly targeting young coders and tech CEOs with a focus on software engineering and finance backgrounds.
  • Working Conditions: Applicants are expected to work 80+ hours per week without compensation, and the initiative has been likened to a reverse "New Deal."
  • Motivations for Joining: Applicants are driven by patriotism, professional ambition, and the desire to contribute to government efficiency.
  • Historical Context: The article compares DOGE to past efforts like the Grace Commission, which had limited success in reducing government waste.
  • Potential Challenges: Concerns are raised about the initiative's feasibility, the impact on government employees, and the lack of a clear reinvestment plan.
  • Broader Implications: The initiative is seen as a potential career boost for participants, with some likening it to the formation of influential tech groups like the PayPal Mafia.

Forbes' article presents a narrative about DOGE as a “generational opportunity,” but it raises several critical concerns that deserve further scrutiny.

First, the initiative's emphasis on 80+ hour workweeks and zero compensation is both concerning and counterproductive. Such extreme conditions could limit the applicant pool to those with minimal financial obligations, excluding diverse perspectives and talents that might otherwise contribute meaningfully. Can we truly expect innovation and efficiency from a workforce under such strain?

Additionally, the comparison of DOGE to the Manhattan Project feels overstated. Previous attempts to streamline government operations, such as the Grace Commission under Reagan, yielded limited impact despite bipartisan efforts and lofty ambitions. If history suggests such initiatives often fall short, how does DOGE intend to overcome these structural barriers? Without clear, actionable strategies, there’s a risk this project could devolve into yet another symbolic gesture, more indicative of political branding than substantive change.µ

Finally, the article discusses the long-term implications of dismantling government systems without a robust reinvestment plan. Reducing excess is admirable in theory, but the question remains—what happens to the displaced workers and the communities relying on these government infrastructures? The absence of a clear post-restructuring roadmap could leave more gaps than solutions.

I’m curious to hear others’ thoughts. Does DOGE represent a genuine opportunity for change, or is it more of a high-profile experiment bound to repeat past mistakes?